Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 15.062091 17.086714 19.388789 22.222860 25.649512 29.699774 34.911439
2025-06-22 11.883891 14.265160 17.196560 21.140206 26.418352 33.409500 43.678486
2025-06-29 9.973943 12.393696 15.523596 19.983048 26.374894 35.551590 50.438214
2025-07-06 8.748520 11.161974 14.405604 19.242704 26.575965 37.849622 57.827306
2025-07-13 8.719590 11.487621 15.387166 21.546817 31.592663 48.534157 82.588001
2025-07-20 8.273413 11.157074 15.362881 22.301408 34.280236 56.056653 104.834323
2025-07-27 7.577751 10.382969 14.573272 21.700252 34.517702 59.151370 119.167160
2025-08-03 7.274654 10.156858 14.586337 22.403369 37.190859 67.698765 150.863568
2025-08-10 6.804195 9.628005 14.057163 22.086706 37.858495 72.214190 174.731793
2025-08-17 6.394093 9.157500 13.572823 21.777460 38.469690 76.773580 201.898169
2025-08-24 6.058953 8.778598 13.202304 21.623383 39.364928 82.293963 236.718974
2025-08-31 5.697621 8.330419 12.673600 21.102000 39.367838 85.548482 266.099687
2025-09-07 5.427689 8.027881 12.395110 21.083307 40.622623 93.022035 323.393431
2025-09-14 5.032357 7.491628 11.664347 20.084006 39.429300 93.147708 347.098334
2025-09-21 4.662006 6.975340 10.931606 19.003570 37.866590 91.730158 362.137622
2025-09-28 4.379128 6.591782 10.412013 18.311713 37.157407 92.866037 394.881064
2025-10-05 4.499651 6.907079 11.194545 20.462936 44.172451 123.296011 698.857228
2025-10-12 4.421400 6.867193 11.305551 21.166199 47.530016 142.883896 1007.451858
2025-10-19 4.202424 6.562632 10.883182 20.605982 47.153701 147.031352 1164.783241
2025-10-26 4.133681 6.524868 10.978450 21.261178 50.563252 170.266133 1762.873708
2025-11-02 3.969176 6.302367 10.689754 20.966162 50.970014 179.600180 2214.337543
2025-11-09 3.816665 6.094153 10.415833 20.677954 51.350199 189.257825 2814.865323
2025-11-16 3.688322 5.924430 10.209001 20.534321 52.193690 202.308667 3788.783204